Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
Across Missouri Counties
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2007-2016 and 2016
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
Missouri:
2007-2016 = 0.50%
2016 = 1.15%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of transportation and warehousing employment growth across all of Missouri's 115 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the transportation and warehousing employment growth of Missouri's 115 counties over the latest available year (2016) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2007-2016). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2007-2016 and 2016
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
Missouri:
2007-2016 = 0.50%
2016 = 1.15%
This figure displays the 115 counties of Missouri as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2007-2016), and the horizontal axis representing the transportation and warehousing employment growth rate for the near-term (2016).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term transportation and warehousing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.50%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.50% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.50%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 23 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2007-2016, while 27 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 28 counties whose most recent (2016) transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.15%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 22 counties whose transportation and warehousing employment growth over 2016 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 115 counties corresponding with their long-term (2007-2016) and near-term (2016) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.50% over 2007-2016 and 1.15% over 2016:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.50%) and near-term (1.15%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.50%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Missouri average (1.15%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.50%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.15%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.50%) and near-term (1.15%).
   
 
Summary of Missouri's 115 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.15%)
Above
(1.15%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.50%)
8
15
23
Below
(0.50%)
14
13
27
 
22
28
50
 
   
Leading Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Leading Counties
Missouri:
2007-2016 = 0.50%
2016 = 1.15%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Missouri counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Missouri's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2007-2016 = 0.50%) as well as near-term (2016 = 1.15%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2007-2016.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, just 15 (13%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Slipping Counties
Missouri:
2007-2016 = 0.50%
2016 = 1.15%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 8 Missouri counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2007-2016 = 0.50%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2016 = 1.15%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2007-2016.
Only 8 (7%) of Missouri's 115 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Gaining Counties
Missouri:
2007-2016 = 0.50%
2016 = 1.15%
This figure shows the distribution of the 13 Missouri counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2007-2016 = 0.50%), while they outpaced Missouri's average near-term (2016 = 1.15%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2007-2016.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, only 11% (13) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2016 vs. 2007-2016 Averages
Lagging Counties
Missouri:
2007-2016 = 0.50%
2016 = 1.15%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 14 Missouri counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2007-2016 = 0.50%) as well as near-term (2016 = 1.15%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2007-2016.
12% of Missouri's counties, 14 of 115, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Missouri
Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2007-2016
 
2016
 
 
Leading Counties
 
18
1.07
 
13
5.82
400
 
2
7.43
 
39
1.93
2,964
 
13
1.61
 
18
4.83
6,726
 
19
0.81
 
27
3.49
920
 
9
2.12
 
11
6.14
294
 
10
2.06
 
38
2.11
581
 
11
1.79
 
6
7.35
219
 
7
3.46
 
30
3.22
963
 
21
0.65
 
16
5.01
566
 
20
0.75
 
37
2.22
369
 
5
4.34
 
19
4.33
5,880
 
22
0.51
 
9
6.80
157
 
3
7.02
 
1
8.77
124
 
6
3.65
 
21
4.15
201
 
23
0.51
 
33
2.96
695
Slipping Counties
 
15
1.31
 
51
-1.77
2,104
 
8
2.12
 
53
-1.95
904
 
14
1.44
 
44
0.35
12,205
 
17
1.08
 
60
-3.38
629
 
1
8.68
 
55
-2.82
482
 
12
1.64
 
48
-0.89
777
 
4
5.42
 
56
-2.84
342
 
16
1.19
 
47
-0.83
359
Gaining Counties
 
39
-2.01
 
8
7.06
349
 
37
-1.61
 
12
5.90
628
 
28
-0.36
 
23
3.90
160
 
24
0.45
 
10
6.61
1,226
 
49
-4.70
 
40
1.88
1,248
 
38
-1.89
 
7
7.26
133
 
30
-0.79
 
32
3.04
305
 
47
-3.32
 
24
3.81
109
 
42
-2.72
 
28
3.47
1,044
 
26
0.32
 
22
4.07
128
 
32
-1.05
 
5
7.44
1,848
 
48
-3.99
 
25
3.75
636
 
33
-1.06
 
4
7.48
460
Lagging Counties
 
36
-1.50
 
59
-3.31
117
 
50
-8.54
 
50
-1.64
60
 
29
-0.38
 
52
-1.82
6,584
 
41
-2.53
 
42
0.63
635
 
34
-1.08
 
61
-3.60
375
 
43
-2.72
 
46
-0.55
182
 
35
-1.38
 
64
-4.17
391
 
44
-2.75
 
57
-2.94
198
 
31
-0.94
 
58
-2.98
293
 
27
0.27
 
49
-1.17
592
 
46
-2.81
 
67
-5.46
3,599
 
45
-2.76
 
54
-2.62
372
 
40
-2.21
 
62
-3.82
151
 
25
0.34
 
63
-4.06
544
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
20
4.17
125
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
31
3.07
2,147
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
43
0.35
284
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
14
5.26
1,862
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
36
2.60
158
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
41
1.80
2,268
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
26
3.58
318
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
68
-6.09
324
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
35
2.63
195
 
U
U
 
3
8.00
1,134
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
34
2.63
1,130
 
U
U
 
S
S
54
 
U
U
 
S
S
176
 
U
U
 
45
-0.40
1,003
 
U
U
 
29
3.44
24,325
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
8.24
92
 
U
U
 
15
5.16
1,528
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
66
-5.00
285
 
U
U
 
17
4.96
148
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
64
-4.17
46
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.50
 
1.15
131,393
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.29
 
3.31
7,169,400
November 2017
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510800_LSGL
 
   
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