Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
Across Missouri Counties
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2008-2017 and 2017
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
Missouri:
2008-2017 = 0.38%
2017 = 1.86%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of transportation and warehousing employment growth across all of Missouri's 115 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the transportation and warehousing employment growth of Missouri's 115 counties over the latest available year (2017) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2008-2017). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2008-2017 and 2017
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
Missouri:
2008-2017 = 0.38%
2017 = 1.86%
This figure displays the 115 counties of Missouri as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2008-2017), and the horizontal axis representing the transportation and warehousing employment growth rate for the near-term (2017).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term transportation and warehousing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.38%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.38% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.38%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 21 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2008-2017, while 32 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 19 counties whose most recent (2017) transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.86%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 34 counties whose transportation and warehousing employment growth over 2017 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 115 counties corresponding with their long-term (2008-2017) and near-term (2017) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.38% over 2008-2017 and 1.86% over 2017:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.38%) and near-term (1.86%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.38%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Missouri average (1.86%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.38%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.86%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.38%) and near-term (1.86%).
   
 
Summary of Missouri's 115 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.86%)
Above
(1.86%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.38%)
10
11
21
Below
(0.38%)
24
8
32
 
34
19
53
 
   
Leading Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Leading Counties
Missouri:
2008-2017 = 0.38%
2017 = 1.86%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Missouri counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Missouri's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2008-2017 = 0.38%) as well as near-term (2017 = 1.86%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2008-2017.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, just 11 (10%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Slipping Counties
Missouri:
2008-2017 = 0.38%
2017 = 1.86%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 10 Missouri counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2008-2017 = 0.38%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2017 = 1.86%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2008-2017.
Only 10 (9%) of Missouri's 115 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Gaining Counties
Missouri:
2008-2017 = 0.38%
2017 = 1.86%
This figure shows the distribution of the 8 Missouri counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2008-2017 = 0.38%), while they outpaced Missouri's average near-term (2017 = 1.86%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2008-2017.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, only 7% (8) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Lagging Counties
Missouri:
2008-2017 = 0.38%
2017 = 1.86%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 24 Missouri counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2008-2017 = 0.38%) as well as near-term (2017 = 1.86%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2008-2017.
21% of Missouri's counties, 24 of 115, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Missouri
Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2008-2017
 
2017
 
 
Leading Counties
 
12
1.56
 
1
58.79
524
 
9
2.10
 
5
7.40
12,929
 
5
3.71
 
20
2.33
616
 
17
1.09
 
16
2.97
208
 
20
0.79
 
14
3.57
377
 
2
6.30
 
22
2.12
481
 
4
3.79
 
23
2.01
5,900
 
10
1.98
 
12
4.22
1,607
 
13
1.29
 
15
2.98
173
 
3
6.10
 
18
2.91
106
 
21
0.59
 
3
10.09
731
Slipping Counties
 
15
1.16
 
28
1.56
2,086
 
1
6.52
 
59
-3.67
2,832
 
14
1.28
 
27
1.62
6,648
 
16
1.10
 
49
-1.59
867
 
19
1.06
 
56
-2.95
263
 
11
1.69
 
39
0.08
2,363
 
8
2.23
 
42
-0.44
911
 
18
1.09
 
57
-3.08
567
 
7
2.67
 
35
0.55
183
 
6
3.44
 
64
-5.06
319
Gaining Counties
 
23
0.28
 
6
6.61
403
 
53
-5.83
 
2
32.76
77
 
34
-0.93
 
9
5.93
125
 
38
-1.79
 
8
6.16
1,120
 
27
-0.11
 
10
4.76
1,894
 
44
-2.40
 
11
4.52
3,724
 
50
-4.34
 
24
1.94
315
 
49
-3.77
 
13
3.82
136
Lagging Counties
 
25
0.03
 
45
-0.88
784
 
42
-2.06
 
54
-2.47
158
 
26
0.00
 
47
-1.07
1,202
 
52
-5.53
 
52
-2.37
1,152
 
32
-0.56
 
26
1.75
116
 
24
0.15
 
32
0.78
901
 
41
-2.06
 
33
0.77
131
 
35
-0.98
 
25
1.83
6,573
 
48
-3.71
 
36
0.50
605
 
36
-1.12
 
30
1.07
283
 
45
-2.63
 
53
-2.38
205
 
28
-0.25
 
38
0.32
634
 
29
-0.26
 
67
-6.10
570
 
30
-0.49
 
29
1.14
178
 
37
-1.24
 
61
-4.26
405
 
47
-3.04
 
65
-5.64
184
 
43
-2.30
 
55
-2.63
111
 
46
-2.67
 
68
-8.19
258
 
22
0.36
 
51
-1.96
1,102
 
31
-0.50
 
60
-4.01
719
 
51
-4.54
 
40
0.00
528
 
40
-1.93
 
63
-4.93
482
 
39
-1.82
 
43
-0.46
432
 
33
-0.72
 
66
-6.02
328
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
50
-1.79
110
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
34
0.66
2,294
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
37
0.36
276
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
31
1.02
1,777
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
4
8.50
166
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
58
-3.17
305
 
U
U
 
S
S
53
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
44
-0.70
283
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
41
-0.09
1,101
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
312
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
48
-1.24
159
 
U
U
 
46
-1.07
1,020
 
U
U
 
17
2.93
25,292
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
7
6.17
86
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
21
2.17
283
 
U
U
 
62
-4.42
108
 
U
U
 
S
S
540
 
U
U
 
19
2.63
39
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.38
 
1.86
132,327
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.69
 
3.38
7,663,800
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510800_LSGL
 
   
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