Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Other Services (except Public Administration) Earnings Growth
Across Missouri Counties
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 3.51%
2022 = 7.81%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real other services (except public administration) earnings growth across all of Missouri's 115 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real other services (except public administration) earnings growth of Missouri's 115 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration)
Earnings Growth
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 3.51%
2022 = 7.81%
This figure displays the 115 counties of Missouri as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real other services (except public administration) earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.51%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.51% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.51%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 45 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 36 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 30 counties whose most recent (2022) real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (7.81%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 51 counties whose real other services (except public administration) earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 115 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.51% over 2010-2022 and 7.81% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.51%) and near-term (7.81%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.51%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Missouri average (7.81%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.51%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (7.81%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.51%) and near-term (7.81%).
   
 
Summary of Missouri's 115 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(7.81%)
Above
(7.81%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.51%)
22
23
45
Below
(3.51%)
29
7
36
 
51
30
81
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 3.51%
2022 = 7.81%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Missouri counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Missouri's average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.51%) as well as near-term (2022 = 7.81%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, 23 (20%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 3.51%
2022 = 7.81%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 22 Missouri counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.51%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 7.81%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 22 (19%) of Missouri's 115 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 3.51%
2022 = 7.81%
This figure shows the distribution of the 7 Missouri counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.51%), while they outpaced Missouri's average near-term (2022 = 7.81%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, only 6% (7) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 3.51%
2022 = 7.81%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 29 Missouri counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.51%) as well as near-term (2022 = 7.81%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real other services (except public administration) earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
25% of Missouri's counties, 29 of 115, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Missouri
Real* Other Services (except Public Administration) Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
21
4.25
 
25
9.35
19,994
 
16
4.42
 
26
9.26
67,951
 
18
4.38
 
21
9.81
146,372
 
3
5.77
 
5
12.41
123,063
 
8
5.00
 
6
12.24
382,389
 
40
3.71
 
17
10.06
596,249
 
26
4.10
 
30
8.67
46,193
 
31
3.99
 
16
10.16
1,307,359
 
25
4.10
 
35
8.15
173,482
 
7
5.07
 
3
13.22
54,035
 
42
3.63
 
34
8.38
37,846
 
2
6.10
 
13
10.61
68,212
 
6
5.20
 
2
13.66
16,756
 
11
4.78
 
10
11.48
27,017
 
30
4.01
 
37
8.01
64,172
 
28
4.07
 
22
9.43
69,148
 
44
3.55
 
24
9.36
51,077
 
20
4.29
 
20
9.90
151,115
 
19
4.35
 
32
8.47
33,458
 
13
4.68
 
33
8.38
592,471
 
29
4.02
 
18
10.03
72,772
 
10
4.80
 
8
11.75
6,876
 
37
3.75
 
28
8.76
20,628
Slipping Counties
 
39
3.73
 
55
6.78
60,913
 
35
3.90
 
58
6.69
112,386
 
34
3.95
 
69
5.82
11,044
 
45
3.52
 
62
6.29
5,326
 
32
3.96
 
52
6.96
185,442
 
41
3.71
 
68
5.87
15,972
 
24
4.11
 
39
7.80
129,318
 
17
4.42
 
93
3.28
16,122
 
22
4.20
 
40
7.78
291,542
 
36
3.87
 
54
6.83
39,459
 
38
3.73
 
83
4.67
34,426
 
43
3.60
 
75
5.35
20,132
 
15
4.54
 
89
3.69
23,926
 
4
5.73
 
43
7.66
17,062
 
14
4.57
 
79
5.16
25,194
 
9
4.94
 
47
7.28
19,085
 
1
6.12
 
46
7.36
9,381
 
12
4.77
 
97
1.88
57,967
 
27
4.09
 
65
6.08
34,228
 
23
4.20
 
50
7.17
36,688
 
5
5.31
 
51
7.05
37,348
 
33
3.96
 
53
6.87
39,888
Gaining Counties
 
60
2.60
 
1
31.16
6,844
 
46
3.34
 
23
9.39
222,202
 
48
3.22
 
29
8.73
42,609
 
69
2.12
 
7
11.87
14,979
 
51
3.14
 
15
10.18
30,574
 
53
3.14
 
11
11.00
25,807
 
64
2.43
 
9
11.67
20,748
Lagging Counties
 
79
0.54
 
85
4.36
25,276
 
66
2.35
 
64
6.23
29,038
 
71
1.73
 
61
6.46
30,277
 
56
3.06
 
45
7.46
12,298
 
70
2.06
 
87
4.28
106,013
 
63
2.46
 
76
5.34
7,458
 
59
2.60
 
41
7.77
19,492
 
62
2.51
 
70
5.80
18,686
 
61
2.52
 
86
4.30
17,363
 
65
2.36
 
57
6.70
26,602
 
77
1.46
 
67
5.97
9,936
 
72
1.68
 
66
6.04
7,842
 
54
3.10
 
80
5.16
25,387
 
58
2.63
 
100
-8.29
13,489
 
67
2.18
 
84
4.56
3,282
 
81
-0.77
 
82
4.71
8,643
 
68
2.14
 
92
3.37
6,320
 
57
2.94
 
98
1.40
12,949
 
50
3.17
 
49
7.22
21,871
 
80
0.01
 
77
5.25
17,410
 
78
0.89
 
88
3.72
40,506
 
49
3.21
 
74
5.50
25,435
 
76
1.49
 
78
5.16
8,798
 
47
3.26
 
60
6.53
1,835,296
 
52
3.14
 
94
3.02
22,087
 
74
1.61
 
63
6.26
77,852
 
73
1.64
 
96
2.24
17,273
 
55
3.06
 
56
6.71
19,588
 
75
1.53
 
71
5.70
8,718
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
48
7.26
16,032
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
90
3.57
13,830
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
36
8.08
15,725
 
U
U
 
27
9.21
5,561
 
U
U
 
12
10.98
21,735
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
31
8.53
9,501
 
U
U
 
73
5.51
11,820
 
U
U
 
S
S
7,375
 
U
U
 
19
9.96
8,475
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
99
-3.88
8,049
 
U
U
 
44
7.59
4,860
 
U
U
 
72
5.60
8,573
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
91
3.37
13,447
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
81
4.73
10,015
 
U
U
 
59
6.66
23,076
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
42
7.74
10,617
 
U
U
 
4
12.83
5,539
 
U
U
 
38
7.95
7,248
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
14
10.51
2,218
 
U
U
 
95
2.27
566,146
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.51
 
7.81
9,086,357
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.99
 
9.15
514,542,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611900_LSGL
 
   
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