Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Administrative and Waste Services Earnings Growth
Across Missouri Counties
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.65%
2022 = 10.37%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real administrative and waste services earnings growth across all of Missouri's 115 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real administrative and waste services earnings growth of Missouri's 115 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Administrative and Waste Services
Earnings Growth
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.65%
2022 = 10.37%
This figure displays the 115 counties of Missouri as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real administrative and waste services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.65%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.65% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.65%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 17 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 20 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 9 counties whose most recent (2022) real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (10.37%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 28 counties whose real administrative and waste services earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 115 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.65% over 2010-2022 and 10.37% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.65%) and near-term (10.37%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.65%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Missouri average (10.37%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.65%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (10.37%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.65%) and near-term (10.37%).
   
 
Summary of Missouri's 115 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(10.37%)
Above
(10.37%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.65%)
11
6
17
Below
(4.65%)
17
3
20
 
28
9
37
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.65%
2022 = 10.37%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Missouri counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Missouri's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 10.37%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, just 6 (5%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.65%
2022 = 10.37%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 11 Missouri counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.65%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 10.37%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 11 (10%) of Missouri's 115 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.65%
2022 = 10.37%
This figure shows the distribution of the 3 Missouri counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.65%), while they outpaced Missouri's average near-term (2022 = 10.37%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, only 3% (3) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.65%
2022 = 10.37%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 17 Missouri counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 10.37%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real administrative and waste services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
15% of Missouri's counties, 17 of 115, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Missouri
Real* Administrative and Waste Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
7
7.54
 
4
24.67
64,579
 
10
6.81
 
14
12.99
2,174
 
13
6.15
 
6
22.01
22,127
 
9
6.82
 
11
16.06
4,417,032
 
8
6.87
 
8
18.53
38,285
 
16
5.01
 
15
12.74
21,330
Slipping Counties
 
11
6.55
 
34
4.29
25,260
 
14
5.60
 
26
6.57
211,543
 
5
9.55
 
32
4.70
144,478
 
3
12.10
 
19
9.91
510,341
 
17
4.83
 
22
9.03
20,823
 
6
7.90
 
24
8.23
32,095
 
1
23.88
 
35
4.10
23,106
 
15
5.19
 
46
1.17
21,783
 
2
17.52
 
62
-6.88
8,338
 
4
10.69
 
39
2.88
34,843
 
12
6.42
 
59
-4.09
131,973
Gaining Counties
 
28
1.89
 
9
17.59
8,509
 
19
4.21
 
17
11.13
542,514
 
25
2.61
 
13
14.49
1,047,253
Lagging Counties
 
30
1.70
 
29
5.78
3,987
 
31
1.52
 
55
-2.70
113,527
 
27
2.23
 
60
-4.47
36,393
 
20
3.90
 
36
3.47
40,989
 
33
0.97
 
30
4.85
102,158
 
18
4.49
 
47
0.08
150,086
 
23
2.95
 
37
3.26
85,521
 
32
1.07
 
56
-3.54
134,137
 
26
2.55
 
42
2.66
167,647
 
22
3.53
 
53
-1.28
8,005
 
35
-1.43
 
57
-3.63
18,370
 
24
2.82
 
50
-0.42
45,762
 
34
0.44
 
51
-0.45
294,695
 
21
3.89
 
44
1.93
559,587
 
37
-6.76
 
64
-29.93
25,267
 
36
-2.82
 
21
9.33
5,275
 
29
1.86
 
31
4.78
624,205
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
20
9.42
9,939
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
43
2.55
17,120
 
U
U
 
10
16.61
14,870
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
28
5.91
2,328
 
U
U
 
49
-0.23
2,599
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
22.36
2,742
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
12.17
2,756
 
U
U
 
38
3.01
2,905
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
18
10.56
2,585
 
U
U
 
40
2.71
3,256
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
12
14.62
27,383
 
U
U
 
3
30.01
3,552
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
7
19.11
20,822
 
U
U
 
61
-4.59
10,071
 
U
U
 
27
6.26
1,900
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
1
44.37
31,186
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
41
2.71
8,308
 
U
U
 
45
1.47
2,827
 
U
U
 
52
-0.96
11,831
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
-26.92
4,967
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
54
-2.00
1,620
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
35.63
11,899
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
58
-3.73
1,265
 
U
U
 
25
7.91
14,286
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
48
-0.08
5,152
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
33
4.61
17,414
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
8.70
2,161
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.65
 
10.37
10,251,535
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.80
 
11.97
691,776,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611400_LSGL
 
   
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