Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Finance and Insurance Earnings Growth
Across Missouri Counties
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.31%
2022 = 1.81%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real finance and insurance earnings growth across all of Missouri's 115 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real finance and insurance earnings growth of Missouri's 115 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.31%
2022 = 1.81%
This figure displays the 115 counties of Missouri as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real finance and insurance earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real finance and insurance earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.31%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.31% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.31%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 18 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 68 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 76 counties whose most recent (2022) real finance and insurance earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.81%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 10 counties whose real finance and insurance earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 115 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.31% over 2010-2022 and 1.81% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.31%) and near-term (1.81%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.31%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Missouri average (1.81%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.31%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.81%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.31%) and near-term (1.81%).
   
 
Summary of Missouri's 115 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.81%)
Above
(1.81%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.31%)
3
15
18
Below
(4.31%)
7
61
68
 
10
76
86
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.31%
2022 = 1.81%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Missouri counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Missouri's average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.31%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.81%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, just 15 (13%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.31%
2022 = 1.81%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 3 Missouri counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.31%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 1.81%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 3 (3%) of Missouri's 115 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.31%
2022 = 1.81%
This figure shows the distribution of the 61 Missouri counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.31%), while they outpaced Missouri's average near-term (2022 = 1.81%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Missouri's 115 counties, 53% (61) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Missouri:
2010-2022 = 4.31%
2022 = 1.81%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 7 Missouri counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.31%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.81%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
6% of Missouri's counties, 7 of 115, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Missouri
Real* Finance and Insurance Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
13
4.74
 
51
6.64
51,368
 
10
4.96
 
76
3.01
11,126
 
14
4.62
 
15
12.43
340,109
 
8
5.03
 
10
14.71
10,353
 
15
4.54
 
18
10.76
3,829
 
11
4.94
 
44
7.68
11,088
 
18
4.33
 
86
1.87
46,852
 
9
4.97
 
52
6.64
10,523
 
17
4.41
 
4
26.10
5,329
 
2
8.15
 
6
25.39
36,723
 
5
6.41
 
84
2.09
165,707
 
6
5.72
 
69
4.17
43,166
 
16
4.53
 
12
13.16
11,998
 
7
5.48
 
45
7.48
46,750
 
4
6.54
 
9
15.57
20,461
Slipping Counties
 
1
10.69
 
99
-14.31
822,376
 
12
4.79
 
90
0.18
90,839
 
3
7.56
 
92
-1.19
2,210,960
Gaining Counties
 
84
-1.20
 
57
5.67
16,358
 
83
-1.11
 
46
7.18
4,405
 
72
0.94
 
64
5.19
6,603
 
53
2.31
 
19
10.54
21,935
 
58
2.13
 
35
8.33
31,267
 
71
1.01
 
27
8.86
11,323
 
25
3.91
 
26
8.88
20,161
 
68
1.57
 
7
23.61
17,889
 
27
3.84
 
28
8.76
45,269
 
54
2.23
 
75
3.12
95,327
 
66
1.65
 
72
3.90
8,531
 
38
3.16
 
29
8.68
63,966
 
65
1.80
 
31
8.48
6,600
 
19
4.29
 
39
7.97
60,165
 
55
2.23
 
62
5.29
12,882
 
35
3.23
 
16
12.09
193,185
 
33
3.28
 
2
28.45
19,766
 
62
2.02
 
38
8.01
11,403
 
30
3.44
 
41
7.77
13,267
 
73
0.93
 
24
9.49
14,648
 
41
3.09
 
42
7.73
96,065
 
63
1.88
 
80
2.65
12,118
 
32
3.33
 
50
6.66
699,093
 
57
2.16
 
78
2.79
7,855
 
28
3.74
 
20
10.49
25,224
 
60
2.10
 
61
5.39
2,521
 
24
3.98
 
43
7.68
32,962
 
50
2.47
 
59
5.61
3,275
 
20
4.24
 
63
5.28
3,690,151
 
64
1.87
 
58
5.62
114,061
 
23
4.04
 
33
8.40
27,729
 
39
3.13
 
55
5.94
24,601
 
47
2.79
 
40
7.85
16,400
 
26
3.86
 
70
4.09
29,294
 
61
2.07
 
56
5.70
13,078
 
74
0.82
 
49
6.72
16,554
 
48
2.61
 
11
13.62
7,540
 
29
3.64
 
22
9.74
13,390
 
52
2.37
 
48
6.98
29,875
 
51
2.43
 
67
4.35
15,581
 
37
3.18
 
32
8.46
11,676
 
45
2.92
 
23
9.73
36,753
 
86
-2.19
 
17
11.99
16,088
 
76
0.78
 
60
5.54
26,401
 
40
3.10
 
65
5.06
33,834
 
69
1.49
 
37
8.18
11,209
 
49
2.52
 
79
2.66
19,031
 
67
1.59
 
53
6.16
20,758
 
59
2.12
 
14
12.62
4,498
 
85
-1.50
 
85
2.04
2,252
 
78
0.27
 
13
12.92
8,706
 
80
-0.33
 
21
10.44
4,021
 
31
3.40
 
68
4.21
814,755
 
70
1.18
 
74
3.62
3,574
 
44
2.93
 
34
8.39
19,523
 
75
0.81
 
82
2.27
30,355
 
34
3.23
 
73
3.81
26,737
 
46
2.86
 
77
2.82
10,117
 
22
4.08
 
5
25.78
10,408
 
42
3.04
 
8
16.59
18,358
 
36
3.22
 
30
8.53
10,009
Lagging Counties
 
79
0.05
 
101
-26.29
98,604
 
81
-0.46
 
93
-2.70
16,637
 
43
2.93
 
96
-6.02
107,426
 
56
2.16
 
95
-4.21
6,057
 
82
-0.76
 
91
-1.02
9,056
 
21
4.12
 
87
1.20
6,665,215
 
77
0.33
 
100
-23.57
19,256
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
88
0.98
2,367
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,677
 
U
U
 
36
8.25
4,252
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
83
2.15
2,285
 
U
U
 
98
-13.29
3,138
 
U
U
 
94
-3.49
2,847
 
U
U
 
3
26.16
3,627
 
U
U
 
1
38.37
9,466
 
U
U
 
54
6.11
3,662
 
U
U
 
25
9.00
6,564
 
U
U
 
71
3.91
4,805
 
U
U
 
S
S
6,745
 
U
U
 
97
-6.65
1,263
 
U
U
 
66
4.92
7,705
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
7,475
 
U
U
 
S
S
9,071
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
89
0.44
1,140
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,347
 
U
U
 
47
7.01
1,985
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
9,436
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
81
2.43
928
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.31
 
1.81
17,706,407
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.33
 
3.00
1,078,856,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611000_LSGL
 
   
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