Jefferson County vs. Missouri
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Employment Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Jefferson County vs. Missouri
Jefferson County:
2022 Jobs = 77,610
2022 Percent of State = 1.97%
Missouri:
2022 Jobs = 3,934,395
2022 Percent of U.S. = 1.85%
Employment numbers remain the most popular and frequently cited statistics used for tracking local area economic conditions and trends. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) employment estimates reported measure the number of full- and part-time wage and salary employees, plus the number of proprietors of unincorporated businesses. People holding more than one job are counted in the employment estimates for each job they hold. This means BEA employment estimates represent a job count, not a people count. Also, BEA employment is by place-of-work, rather than by place-of-residence. Jobs held by neighboring county residents who commute to Jefferson County to work are included in the employment count for Jefferson County.
Data Definition:
The BEA employment series for states and local areas comprises estimates of the number of jobs, full-time plus part-time, by place of work. Full-time and part-time jobs are counted at equal weight. Employees, sole proprietors, and active partners are included, but unpaid family workers and volunteers are not included. Proprietors employment consists of the number of sole proprietorships and the number of partners in partnerships. The description "by place of work" applies to the wage and salary portion of the series and, with relatively little error, to the entire series. The proprietors employment portion of the series, however, is more nearly by place of residence because, for nonfarm sole proprietorships, the estimates are based on IRS tax data that reflect the address from which the proprietor's individual tax return is filed, which is usually the proprietor's residence. The nonfarm partnership portion of the proprietors employment series reflects the tax-filing address of the partnership, which may be either the residence of one of the partners or the business address of the partnership. The employment estimates are designed to be consistent with the estimates of wages and salaries and proprietors' income that are part of the personal income series. The employment estimates are based on the same sets of source data as the corresponding earnings estimates and are prepared with parallel methodologies. Two forms of proprietors' income-the income of limited partnerships and the income of tax-exempt cooperatives-have no corresponding employment estimates.
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Jefferson County's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Jefferson County's total employment rose from 19,883 in 1969 to 77,610 in 2022, for a net gain of 57,727, or 290.33%.
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Missouri's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Missouri's total employment rose from 2,215,957 in 1969 to 3,934,395 in 2022, for a net gain of 1,718,438, or 77.55%.
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Jefferson County's total employment growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Missouri, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's total employment in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the total employments in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in total employment growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Jefferson County's overall total employment growth was 290.33% over 1969-2022 outpaced Missouri's increase of 77.55%, and outpaced the United States' increase of 133.32%.
Total Employment as a Percent of the Missouri Total: 1969-2022
Total Employment as a Percent of the Missouri Total: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the total employment growth of Jefferson County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Missouri's statewide total employment over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total employment grew faster, or declined less, than Missouri's total employment, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Jefferson County's total employment comprised 0.90% of Missouri's total employment, while in 2022 it comprised 1.97% thereby yielding a +1.08% share-shift.
   
 
Total Employment Share-Shift
2022 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2022
vs.
1969
+1.08%
=
1.97%
-
0.90%
 
   
Jefferson County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Jefferson County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Jefferson County's total employment growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Jefferson County's total employment grew at an annual rate of 2.64% over 1970-2022. The county recorded its highest growth in 1978 (9.42%) and posted its lowest growth in 2001 (-5.33%). In 2022, Jefferson County's total employment grew by 3.50%
Jefferson County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Jefferson County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Jefferson County's total employment since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Jefferson County's annual total employment growth rate averaged 4.36%. It averaged 4.18% throughout the 1980s, 3.24% during the 1990s, 1.22% during the 2000s, 0.47% throughout the 2010s, 1.83% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Jefferson County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Missouri and the nation. As the chart reveals, Jefferson County's average annual total employment growth registered above Missouri's average throughout the 1970s (4.36% vs. 1.53%), exceeded Missouri's average during the 1980s (4.18% vs. 1.34%), topped Missouri's average during the 1990s (3.24% vs. 1.54%), exceeded Missouri's average throughout the 2000s (1.22% vs. 0.30%), fell below Missouri's average in the 2010s (0.47% vs. 0.71%), and topped Missouri's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (1.83% vs. 1.38%).
Finally, relative to nationwide total employment growth trends, Jefferson County outgained the nation over the 1970s (4.36% vs. 2.21%), outpaced the nation during the 1980s (4.18% vs. 1.88%), exceeded the nation in the 1990s (3.24% vs. 1.73%), led the nation throughout the 2000s (1.22% vs. 0.74%), fell below the nation throughout the 2010s (0.47% vs. 1.51%), and led the nation over 2020-2022 (1.83% vs. 1.82%).
   
 
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
2.64
4.36
4.18
3.24
1.22
0.47
1.83
3.50
 
1.10
1.53
1.34
1.54
0.30
0.71
1.38
3.64
 
1.62
2.21
1.88
1.73
0.74
1.51
1.82
4.78
 
   
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2022
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2022
Figure 8.
The job ratios shown in Figure 8 for Jefferson County, Missouri and the nation not only portray a number of important trends, they also serves as a thumbnail guide to evaluating an economy's capacity to generate enough jobs fast enough to absorb the increasing number of workers attendant to a growing population. The job ratio is the number of full-time and part-time jobs by place of work, divided by population.
Nationally, the job ratio rose from 0.45 to 0.64 between 1969 and 2022. Jefferson County's job ratio registered 0.19 in 1969, and 0.34 in 2022. Underlying the rising job ratio over the past several decades have been the increases in the labor force participation rates, with the number and proportion of women in the labor market playing a leading role.
An assortment of other factors can contribute to regional differences in the job ratio. They include differences in the proportion of elderly and retirees who no longer work and participate in the labor force, differences in the number and proportion of part-time vs. full-time workers, differences in industry composition, and differences in age and sex distribution and degree of urbanization. Also, a disproportionate number of workers commuting to work outside a county tends to lower its local county job ratio, while a net inflow of workers commuting to work inside the county tends to augment its local county job ratio.
Avoid interpreting the job ratio as the fraction (or percent) of the local population employed. This interpretation should only apply to the "employment-population ratio" statistic compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from the Current Population Survey (CPS).
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2022
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2022
Figure 9.
To highlight trends in a local job ratio relative to nationwide trends, Figure 9 tracks Jefferson County's, Missouri's job ratio as a percent of the national job ratio over 1969-2022.

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Jefferson County:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
19,883
100.0
N
0.90
0.19
42.63
1970
 
20,381
102.5
2.50
0.93
0.19
43.07
1971
 
20,457
102.9
0.37
0.93
0.19
42.55
1972
 
21,147
106.4
3.37
0.94
0.19
41.05
1973
 
22,777
114.6
7.71
0.98
0.19
40.76
1974
 
22,741
114.4
-0.16
0.97
0.19
39.46
1975
 
22,637
113.9
-0.46
0.99
0.18
38.49
1976
 
24,169
121.6
6.77
1.02
0.19
40.12
1977
 
25,867
130.1
7.03
1.07
0.19
40.55
1978
 
28,304
142.4
9.42
1.13
0.20
41.23
1979
 
30,285
152.3
7.00
1.18
0.21
41.67
1980
 
30,651
154.2
1.21
1.20
0.21
41.66
1981
 
32,392
162.9
5.68
1.28
0.22
43.61
1982
 
32,922
165.6
1.64
1.31
0.22
44.80
1983
 
34,548
173.8
4.94
1.35
0.23
46.32
1984
 
36,597
184.1
5.93
1.37
0.24
46.80
1985
 
38,689
194.6
5.72
1.41
0.25
47.60
1986
 
41,018
206.3
6.02
1.46
0.26
49.29
1987
 
41,911
210.8
2.18
1.48
0.26
48.55
1988
 
43,755
220.1
4.40
1.52
0.27
48.56
1989
 
45,558
229.1
4.12
1.55
0.27
49.03
1990
 
47,255
237.7
3.72
1.59
0.27
49.46
1991
 
47,192
237.3
-0.13
1.60
0.27
49.62
1992
 
47,274
237.8
0.17
1.60
0.27
49.54
1993
 
49,682
249.9
5.09
1.63
0.28
51.02
1994
 
51,634
259.7
3.93
1.66
0.28
51.67
1995
 
53,151
267.3
2.94
1.66
0.29
51.72
1996
 
54,374
273.5
2.30
1.67
0.29
51.57
1997
 
56,884
286.1
4.62
1.71
0.30
52.40
1998
 
60,125
302.4
5.70
1.78
0.31
53.96
1999
 
62,550
314.6
4.03
1.83
0.32
55.05
2000
 
64,161
322.7
2.58
1.85
0.32
55.03
2001
 
60,742
305.5
-5.33
1.76
0.30
52.11
2002
 
61,281
308.2
0.89
1.78
0.30
52.73
2003
 
62,358
313.6
1.76
1.81
0.30
53.21
2004
 
64,508
324.4
3.45
1.85
0.31
53.83
2005
 
66,860
336.3
3.65
1.89
0.32
54.56
2006
 
68,185
342.9
1.98
1.90
0.32
54.28
2007
 
72,296
363.6
6.03
1.99
0.34
56.43
2008
 
71,329
358.7
-1.34
1.97
0.33
55.93
2009
 
70,313
353.6
-1.42
2.00
0.32
57.05
2010
 
69,372
348.9
-1.34
2.00
0.32
56.64
2011
 
69,731
350.7
0.52
1.99
0.32
56.22
2012
 
69,130
347.7
-0.86
1.96
0.31
55.19
2013
 
69,754
350.8
0.90
1.96
0.32
54.81
2014
 
69,487
349.5
-0.38
1.93
0.31
53.60
2015
 
69,747
350.8
0.37
1.91
0.31
52.79
2016
 
73,079
367.5
4.78
1.97
0.33
54.78
2017
 
73,070
367.5
-0.01
1.96
0.33
54.22
2018
 
74,529
374.8
2.00
1.97
0.33
54.34
2019
 
73,567
370.0
-1.29
1.95
0.33
53.37
2020
 
72,536
364.8
-1.40
1.96
0.32
54.26
2021
 
74,983
377.1
3.37
1.98
0.33
53.87
2022
 
77,610
390.3
3.50
1.97
0.34
53.09
Source: Calculations by the Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project (MO-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Missouri:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
2,215,957
100.0
N
2.43
0.48
105.58
1970
 
2,203,183
99.4
-0.58
2.41
0.47
105.00
1971
 
2,200,169
99.3
-0.14
2.40
0.47
105.21
1972
 
2,241,522
101.2
1.88
2.38
0.47
104.64
1973
 
2,324,587
104.9
3.71
2.36
0.49
104.54
1974
 
2,341,199
105.7
0.71
2.34
0.49
104.25
1975
 
2,290,969
103.4
-2.15
2.32
0.48
104.08
1976
 
2,364,844
106.7
3.22
2.33
0.49
104.99
1977
 
2,423,645
109.4
2.49
2.31
0.50
104.65
1978
 
2,512,045
113.4
3.65
2.29
0.52
104.42
1979
 
2,575,855
116.2
2.54
2.28
0.53
104.56
1980
 
2,548,593
115.0
-1.06
2.24
0.52
103.22
1981
 
2,539,840
114.6
-0.34
2.21
0.51
102.83
1982
 
2,516,292
113.6
-0.93
2.20
0.51
103.58
1983
 
2,561,760
115.6
1.81
2.22
0.52
104.76
1984
 
2,667,168
120.4
4.11
2.21
0.54
104.89
1985
 
2,737,724
123.5
2.65
2.21
0.55
105.23
1986
 
2,800,791
126.4
2.30
2.22
0.56
106.07
1987
 
2,836,153
128.0
1.26
2.19
0.56
104.90
1988
 
2,885,020
130.2
1.72
2.16
0.57
103.93
1989
 
2,938,314
132.6
1.85
2.16
0.58
104.51
1990
 
2,972,034
134.1
1.15
2.15
0.58
104.57
1991
 
2,941,610
132.7
-1.02
2.14
0.57
104.58
1992
 
2,957,212
133.5
0.53
2.14
0.57
105.24
1993
 
3,040,852
137.2
2.83
2.16
0.58
106.51
1994
 
3,112,827
140.5
2.37
2.16
0.58
106.68
1995
 
3,196,160
144.2
2.68
2.16
0.59
106.98
1996
 
3,255,268
146.9
1.85
2.16
0.60
106.88
1997
 
3,327,521
150.2
2.22
2.15
0.61
107.10
1998
 
3,385,244
152.8
1.73
2.14
0.61
106.71
1999
 
3,422,953
154.5
1.11
2.12
0.62
106.31
2000
 
3,470,846
156.6
1.40
2.10
0.62
105.61
2001
 
3,451,902
155.8
-0.55
2.09
0.61
105.35
2002
 
3,437,481
155.1
-0.42
2.08
0.61
105.53
2003
 
3,444,525
155.4
0.20
2.08
0.60
105.49
2004
 
3,478,540
157.0
0.99
2.06
0.61
104.96
2005
 
3,533,298
159.4
1.57
2.05
0.61
104.64
2006
 
3,586,439
161.8
1.50
2.04
0.61
104.14
2007
 
3,636,196
164.1
1.39
2.03
0.62
103.62
2008
 
3,625,622
163.6
-0.29
2.02
0.61
103.85
2009
 
3,522,642
159.0
-2.84
2.03
0.59
104.40
2010
 
3,475,274
156.8
-1.34
2.01
0.58
103.71
2011
 
3,506,549
158.2
0.90
1.99
0.58
103.30
2012
 
3,528,185
159.2
0.62
1.97
0.59
102.82
2013
 
3,565,833
160.9
1.07
1.96
0.59
102.49
2014
 
3,597,160
162.3
0.88
1.93
0.59
101.75
2015
 
3,655,817
165.0
1.63
1.92
0.60
101.72
2016
 
3,700,543
167.0
1.22
1.91
0.61
101.84
2017
 
3,735,873
168.6
0.95
1.90
0.61
101.63
2018
 
3,777,370
170.5
1.11
1.89
0.62
101.10
2019
 
3,779,459
170.6
0.06
1.87
0.62
100.76
2020
 
3,692,620
166.6
-2.30
1.89
0.60
101.86
2021
 
3,796,384
171.3
2.81
1.87
0.62
100.77
2022
 
3,934,395
177.5
3.64
1.85
0.64
99.91
Source: Calculations by the Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project (MO-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
91,053,200
100.0
N
0.45
1970
 
91,277,600
100.2
0.25
0.45
1971
 
91,581,400
100.6
0.33
0.44
1972
 
94,312,200
103.6
2.98
0.45
1973
 
98,427,500
108.1
4.36
0.47
1974
 
100,111,800
109.9
1.71
0.47
1975
 
98,900,600
108.6
-1.21
0.46
1976
 
101,591,200
111.6
2.72
0.47
1977
 
105,042,200
115.4
3.40
0.48
1978
 
109,686,600
120.5
4.42
0.49
1979
 
113,147,100
124.3
3.15
0.50
1980
 
113,983,200
125.2
0.74
0.50
1981
 
114,914,000
126.2
0.82
0.50
1982
 
114,163,300
125.4
-0.65
0.49
1983
 
115,645,700
127.0
1.30
0.49
1984
 
120,528,100
132.4
4.22
0.51
1985
 
123,796,700
136.0
2.71
0.52
1986
 
126,232,300
138.6
1.97
0.53
1987
 
129,548,400
142.3
2.63
0.53
1988
 
133,563,900
146.7
3.10
0.55
1989
 
136,177,800
149.6
1.96
0.55
1990
 
138,330,900
151.9
1.58
0.55
1991
 
137,612,800
151.1
-0.52
0.54
1992
 
138,166,100
151.7
0.40
0.54
1993
 
140,774,400
154.6
1.89
0.54
1994
 
144,196,600
158.4
2.43
0.55
1995
 
147,915,800
162.4
2.58
0.56
1996
 
151,056,200
165.9
2.12
0.56
1997
 
154,541,200
169.7
2.31
0.57
1998
 
158,481,200
174.1
2.55
0.57
1999
 
161,531,300
177.4
1.92
0.58
2000
 
165,370,800
181.6
2.38
0.59
2001
 
165,522,200
181.8
0.09
0.58
2002
 
165,095,100
181.3
-0.26
0.57
2003
 
165,921,500
182.2
0.50
0.57
2004
 
168,839,700
185.4
1.76
0.58
2005
 
172,338,400
189.3
2.07
0.58
2006
 
175,868,600
193.1
2.05
0.59
2007
 
179,543,700
197.2
2.09
0.60
2008
 
179,213,900
196.8
-0.18
0.59
2009
 
173,636,700
190.7
-3.11
0.57
2010
 
172,901,700
189.9
-0.42
0.56
2011
 
176,091,700
193.4
1.84
0.56
2012
 
178,979,700
196.6
1.64
0.57
2013
 
182,328,100
200.2
1.87
0.58
2014
 
186,239,800
204.5
2.15
0.58
2015
 
190,325,800
209.0
2.19
0.59
2016
 
193,425,900
212.4
1.63
0.60
2017
 
196,394,100
215.7
1.53
0.60
2018
 
200,292,200
220.0
1.98
0.61
2019
 
201,635,200
221.4
0.67
0.61
2020
 
195,286,600
214.5
-3.15
0.59
2021
 
202,752,100
222.7
3.82
0.61
2022
 
212,442,000
233.3
4.78
0.64
Source: Calculations by the Missouri Regional Economic Analysis Project (MO-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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